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Mark Thompson wrote on Sun, Feb 20, 2005 06:40 AM EST:
Does anyone have any quantitative information about the advantage White has
over Black? The kind of thing I'd like to know is: supposing two
experienced, average rated players, with equal ratings, play many games
against each other until 100 games have ended decisively (not in draws),
how many should we expect to have been won by White? Is it 55-45, or
60-40, or what? Supposing our pair of equal players were more skilled than
average, does that make it closer or farther to 50-50?

Another thing that would be of interest: supposing we experiment with
matching many pairs of unequally-rated players, with the stronger player
playing Black, until we find pairs in which the White-win, Black-win ratio
is 50-50: will we find any consistency in the number of rating points that
separate the two players? Does playing White worth 20 points to your
rating? 40 points? 100 points??

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